Following the recent bitcoin price pullback, the latest Skew data now indicates that the premium rate on Grayscale’s GBTC is under 10%. The lower rate comes just weeks after the premium peaked at 41% towards the end of December. The GBTC premium is a measure of the extent of differences in the value between the crypto asset on the open market and in the Grayscale fund.
The same data also shows that between late October of 2020 and January 21 of the current year, this premium averaged 22%. However, in the seven days leading up to January 21, this rate dropped to 7.3%. According to Bohdan Prylepa, the CTO at Prof-it.bz, this “decrease indicates the sale of shares by some investors after the end of the freeze period.” This is in contrast with a rising premium, which according to the CTO, is an indication of “high demand for GBTC.”
Dropping Demand for GBTC
Also agreeing with Prylepa’s view is Justin Barlow of Thetie.io, who goes on to add that “GBTC has traded at a premium to the underlying bitcoin in all but one day since launch.” He suggests that individual “investors who are aware of the premium might be confident that it will continue and knowingly hold GBTC shares.
However, Barlow speculates the reasons behind the drop in premium from over 40% to current levels. According to him one of the reasons could be:
“Institutional and accredited investors who basically placed an arbitrage trade on the premium (short the underlying bitcoin and buy GBTC) having to close out their positions (buyback bitcoin and sell GBTC) causing downwards pressure on the premium.”
Barlow also suggests other factors such as “retail demand leveling off after the recent bitcoin dip” as well as competition from rival products such as 3iq or Osprey’s Bitcoin Trust could be behind the drop.
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Additions to the Grayscale’s Portfolio
Nevertheless, despite the reduced premium on GBTC and the recent BTC plunge, Grayscale has continued to report new milestones. On January 21, a few days after recording the biggest one-day asset haul, the company reported it now has $25.5 billion worth of assets under management.
Furthermore, reports have also emerged that the firm might have filed for new trusts with the State of Delaware in late 2020. According to the information on the State’s website, Grayscale has filed for six more trusts including Chainlink, Tezos, Liverpeer, Decentraland, Filecoin, and Basic Attention Token.
Still, reports of the new filings have raised the concerns of some as the China-based English language crypto-journalist Wu explains. According to Wu, “the Chinese community is questioning the latest cryptocurrency trusts filed by DCG’s Grayscale, including shitcoin BAT MANA and LPT.” In his tweet, Wu also suggests that some of the mentioned tokens could be “securities.” He ends the tweet by asking; “Is this illegally manipulating its price?”
Yet, as one report that quotes the Grayscale CEO Michael Sonnenshein explains, the mere filing of a trust does not necessarily mean the firm “will bring a product to market.”
Do you think that the premium on the GBTC will go above 10% again? Please share your views in the comments section below.
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